NFL totals + player props · 2026 season · picks with receipts
BALLWISERead the game.
A machine-learning model for NFL player props and game totals. Every pick posted before kickoff, every result graded in public, and it tells you when it's cold.
NFL totals + player props · 2026 season · picks with receipts
A machine-learning model for NFL player props and game totals. Every pick posted before kickoff, every result graded in public, and it tells you when it's cold.
Early access · free
Join the list. You get the model's top prop pick for the week the moment it logs before kickoff, plus the weekly Ledger email and first access when the app opens.
We'll email you the weekly Ledger. Unsubscribe anytime.
21+. Model projections for entertainment and information. Not a sportsbook. 1-800-GAMBLER.
This week · Week 7
The latest picks and results, newest first. The full record lives on the ledger page, every row, win or lose.
Game totals
Player props
Every pick stays on the full ledger, win or lose. The previews above are simply the most recent rows. Prop entries through Oct 24 2026 were logged when placed and published Oct 25; the full note is on the ledger page.
How it works
The whole process fits in a paragraph, and it doesn't change week to week.
Through the week the model builds its own number for every game total and player prop, and compares it to the market line.
A pick goes out only when the model's number and the line disagree enough. It is posted before the game starts, with the line it was taken at.
After the game the pick is marked win or loss. We also record the closing line next to each total, because the final market number is the fairest test of whether a pick was priced well.
Free tools
No signup needed.
Who built this
Every pick account sells a screenshot of a win and a promise. Ballwise sells the opposite: a model, a ledger, and a rule that it has to prove itself before anyone pays for it.
Read more: the model, the bar it has to clear, and the plans →
— Ethan, builder of Ballwise