Every game-total pick and every player-prop leg, stamped at the line it was taken at and graded after the game. Rows are added, never edited or removed. Use the filters to see wins, losses, voids or what's still open.
Game totals
Week 7. On the record.
Each pick is stamped at the line it was released at, and stays here graded win or loss. The ledger is append-only: rows are added, never edited.
Week 7: no releaseThe model priced the slate and nothing cleared the 7-point edge bar.
Washington at San FranciscoWeek 6 · WAS @ SF · released Oct 13 · 17:05 UTC
UNDER 50.5
43.0
-1.0
WIN · final 40
Dallas at Green BayWeek 6 · DAL @ GB · released Oct 13 · 11:05 UTC
UNDER 53
40.0
-1.0
WIN · final 36
Denver at San FranciscoWeek 4 · voided before kickoff: see note · DEN @ SF · released Oct 5 · 04:05 UTC
UNDER 48.5
39.7
—
VOID
L.A. Rams at DenverWeek 3 · LA @ DEN · released Sep 24 · 17:05 UTC
UNDER 44.5
37.5
+0.5
LOSS · final 56
L.A. Chargers at BuffaloWeek 3 · LAC @ BUF · released Sep 21 · 04:05 UTC
UNDER 50.5
43.2
+0.0
WIN · final 40
Atlanta at Green BayWeek 3 · ATL @ GB · released Sep 21 · 04:05 UTC
UNDER 44.5
35.7
+1.5
LOSS · final 49
Washington at DallasWeek 2 · voided before kickoff: below the current edge bar · WAS @ DAL · released Sep 16 · 00:05 UTC
UNDER 50.5
45.1
—
VOID
Indianapolis at Kansas CityWeek 2 · voided before kickoff: priced on stale data · IND @ KC · released Sep 15 · 05:05 UTC
UNDER 48
33.3
—
VOID
Las Vegas at L.A. ChargersWeek 2 · voided before kickoff: priced on stale data · LV @ LAC · released Sep 15 · 05:05 UTC
UNDER 43.5
35.6
—
VOID
Pittsburgh at New EnglandWeek 2 · voided before kickoff: priced on stale data · PIT @ NE · released Sep 15 · 05:05 UTC
UNDER 41.8
35.0
—
VOID
Minnesota at ChicagoWeek 2 · voided before kickoff: priced on stale data · MIN @ CHI · released Sep 15 · 05:05 UTC
UNDER 49.5
34.9
—
VOID
New Orleans at BaltimoreWeek 2 · voided before kickoff: priced on stale data · NO @ BAL · released Sep 15 · 05:05 UTC
UNDER 47
35.7
—
VOID
Detroit at BuffaloWeek 2 · voided before kickoff: priced on stale data · DET @ BUF · released Sep 15 · 05:05 UTC
UNDER 53.5
45.5
—
VOID
New England at SeattleWeek 1 · NE @ SEA · released Sep 3 · 18:05 UTC
UNDER 44.5
39.5
+0.0
WIN · final 23
Denver at Kansas CityWeek 1 · DEN @ KC · released Aug 30 · 08:20 UTC
UNDER 43.5
34.9
+1.0
WIN · final 41
13
games the model priced and passed on this week. It needs a projected edge of at least 7 points before it releases a pick. Most weeks that means a short list. Some weeks it means none, and we say so.
Week
Games priced
Picks released
Voided
Passed
Week 1
14
2
—
12
Week 2
16
0
7
9
Week 3
16
3
—
13
Week 4
15
0
1
14
Week 5
14
0
—
14
Week 6
13
2
—
11
Player props
Every prop leg. Wins and losses.
Every player-prop leg played, one row per leg, graded from the final box score. Free picks land here too, before kickoff. Rows are added, never edited or removed.
How this ledger started: prop entries placed through Oct 24 2026 were logged at the time they were placed and first published here on Oct 25 2026. From then on, every prop pick is posted here before kickoff.
Patrick MahomesRush yds · KC@SEA · placed Oct 24 · 18:14 ET
UNDER 17.5
—
PENDING
Jonah ColemanRush yds · DEN@ARI · placed Oct 24 · 18:14 ET
UNDER 20.5
—
PENDING
J.J. McCarthyRush yds · NYG@HOU · placed Oct 24 · 18:14 ET
UNDER 24.5
—
PENDING
Auston MatthewsShots on goal (NHL) · TOR@EDM · placed Oct 24 · 18:14 ET
OVER 3
—
PENDING
Jordan KyrouShots on goal (NHL) · BUF@WSH · placed Oct 24 · 18:14 ET
OVER 2
—
PENDING
Kyren WilliamsRush yds · LA@LV · placed Oct 21 · 19:15 ET
UNDER 65.5
—
PENDING
Cam WardRush yds · CLE@TEN · placed Oct 21 · 19:15 ET
UNDER 11.5
—
PENDING
Christian McCaffreyRush yds · SF@ATL · placed Oct 21 · 19:15 ET
UNDER 60.5
—
PENDING
Tyler ShoughRush yds · PIT@NO (Paris) · placed Oct 21 · 19:15 ET
UNDER 15.5
—
PENDING
Christian McCaffreyRush yds · SF@ATL · placed Oct 21 · 19:18 ET
UNDER 60.5
—
PENDING
Tyler ShoughRush yds · PIT@NO (Paris) · placed Oct 21 · 19:18 ET
UNDER 15.5
—
PENDING
Caleb WilliamsPass yds · NE@CHI · placed Oct 21 · 19:18 ET
OVER 215.5
308
WIN
Jayden DanielsPass yds · WAS@SF · placed Oct 19 · before kickoff
UNDER 206.5
300
LOSS
Brock PurdyPass yds · WAS@SF · placed Oct 19 · before kickoff
UNDER 246.5
264
LOSS
Rachaad WhiteRush yds · WAS@SF · placed Oct 19 · 16:53 ET
UNDER 44.5
27
WIN
Jayden DanielsPass yds · WAS@SF · placed Oct 19 · 16:53 ET
UNDER 210.5
300
LOSS
Brock PurdyPass yds · WAS@SF · placed Oct 19 · 16:53 ET
UNDER 251.5
264
LOSS
Austin EkelerRush yds · WAS@SF · placed Oct 19 · 16:53 ET
UNDER 18.5
3
WIN
Dak PrescottRush yds · DAL@GB · placed Oct 18 · 13:23 ET
UNDER 10.5
7
WIN
Keaton MitchellRec yds · LAC@KC · placed Oct 18 · 13:23 ET
UNDER 15.5
0
WIN
Josh AllenRush yds · BUF@LV · placed Oct 18 · 13:23 ET
UNDER 33.5
1
WIN
Tyler AllgeierRush yds · ARI@LA · placed Oct 18 · 13:23 ET
UNDER 46.5
38
WIN
Kimani VidalRush yds · LAC@KC · placed Oct 16 · 19:29 ET
UNDER 16.5
21
LOSS
Tyler AllgeierRush yds · ARI@LA · placed Oct 16 · 19:29 ET
UNDER 46.5
38
WIN
Roschon JohnsonRush yds · CHI@ATL · placed Oct 16 · 19:29 ET
UNDER 21.5
51
LOSS
Rachaad WhiteRush yds · WAS@SF · placed Oct 12 · 22:51 ET
UNDER 20.5
27
LOSS
Brenton StrangeRec yds · HOU@JAC · placed Oct 12 · 22:51 ET
UNDER 37.5
44
LOSS
RJ HarveyRec yds · SEA@DEN · placed Oct 12 · 22:51 ET
OVER 19.5
31
WIN
Ty JohnsonRush yds · BUF@LA · placed Oct 12 · 17:59 ET
UNDER 4.5
0
WIN
Matthew StaffordPass yds · BUF@LA · placed Oct 12 · 17:59 ET
OVER 249.5
383
WIN
Keon ColemanRec yds · BUF@LA · placed Oct 12 · 17:59 ET
UNDER 39.5
7
WIN
Kaelon BlackRush yds · SF-SEA · placed Oct 11
UNDER 16.5
16
WIN
Bo NixRush yds · DEN-LAC · placed Oct 11
UNDER 13.5
10
WIN
Joe BurrowPass yds · CIN-MIA · placed Oct 11
OVER 252.5
190
LOSS
Najee HarrisRush yds · NYG@WAS · placed Oct 11
UNDER 28.5
9
WIN
Deshaun WatsonRush yds · CLE-NYJ · placed Oct 11
UNDER 26.5
40
LOSS
Jalen HurtsPass TDs · PHI-JAC · placed Oct 11
UNDER 1
push
VOID
Courtland SuttonReceptions · DEN@SF · placed Oct 4 · 15:55 ET
OVER 2.5
1
LOSS
Omarion HamptonRush yds · LAC@SEA · placed Oct 4 · 15:55 ET
UNDER 46.5
45
WIN
Jaylen WrightRush yds · MIA@MIN · placed Oct 4 · 15:55 ET
UNDER 28.5
7
WIN
Jordan LovePass yds (1st qtr) · GB@TB · placed Oct 4